“Of the 144 data points … we've no clear indications that there is any non-terrestrial explanation for them. But we will go wherever the data takes us on this,” a senior U.S. government official said.
The report speculates about several possible explanations, ranging from natural phenomena to new developmental aircraft to what is simply referred to as “other” — a classification that encompasses a range of potential realities, including the possibility that at least some of the encounters defy simple, earthbound explanations.
The intelligence community uses five separate categories to try and classify the objects, according to the report; but just one of the 144 sightings examined in the report was definitively placed into a category. Eighteen of the observed UFOs — or unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP), in U.S. government parlance — exhibited potentially advanced technology that the U.S. government doesn't completely understand; 11 included encounters in which vehicles came dangerously close to American personnel.
“The UAP we’ve documented … demonstrate an array of aerial behaviors which really emphasizes the point that not all UAP are the same thing,” the official added. “There is not one single explanation for UAP.”
The report includes a separate classified portion, which is likely to prompt claims that the government is shielding crucial information. But the report’s public release marks a watershed moment for a topic that has long been the focus of public fascination and ridicule, as well as deep suspicion that the government is hiding its full knowledge about UFOs.
The five categories of possible explanations for the encounters include: common items such as birds, balloons or recreational drones; weather or other atmospheric conditions; new aircraft being developed by U.S. government entities or private companies; and an unknown design from a foreign adversary. The report also includes a catch-all category of possible explanations it calls “other.”
The government’s inability to categorize more than just one of the 144 unexplained sightings is attributed in part to a limited process for collecting such data, as well as different approaches by various government agencies, if any approaches exist at all. The report calls for expanding and standardizing the reporting methods.
“We quite frankly have a bit of work yet to do in order to truly assess and address the threats posed by UAP,” the official said.
Another major impediment is the lingering stigma surrounding UFOs that prevents pilots and other personnel from coming forward with their testimony for fear it could hurt their career. Nearly all of the sightings examined by the Pentagon and ODNI were reported by Navy pilots.
Congress mandated the report’s creation in the previous year’s Intelligence Authorization Act, and legislators who sit on the House and Senate armed services and intelligence committees will be able to review the classified portion. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), the vice chair of the Senate Intelligence Committee, led the push after revelations in 2017 that a Pentagon office was tracking a number of unexplained sightings reported by Navy pilots. For decades prior, though, previous presidents as well as previous Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) urged a greater focus on the phenomenon.
Rubio hailed the report as “an important first step” but said the Pentagon and intelligence community “have tons of work to do before we can actually understand whether these aerial threats present a serious national security concern.”
The pilots' public testimony and leaked videos also grabbed the attention of Congress. The previous year, the Pentagon set up the Unidentified Aerial Phenomena Task Force, which compiled the congressional report.
The report hints at several calls to action that Congress can facilitate, including an expanded research effort and additional funding to develop a systematic government approach for collecting and analyzing UAP data.
The report is also the result of years of behind-the-scenes lobbying by previous Pentagon and intelligence officials and outside UFO enthusiasts who have maintained that military and intelligence leaders have not taken the phenomenon seriously enough, which some maintain presents a “blind spot” for national security.
For some national security veterans pressing the government for a more robust investigation, the report is a major step towards solving a mystery that has either been ignored by officialdom or relegated to the margins of intelligence gathering and analysis and scientific inquiry.
“We now know what this is not,” said Luis Elizondo, a previous Pentagon official and career counterintelligence specialist who oversaw UAP research before retiring in 2017 in frustration that superiors did not take the intrusions seriously. “It's not secret U.S. technology.”
“There are only two options here,” he added. “Either we're dealing with one of the greatest intelligence failures in history, or we're dealing with the greatest mystery of all time.”
“I’m thrilled they had the guts to do so and that this conversation is now occurring,” added Christoper Mellon, a previous Pentagon intelligence official and senior Senate Intelligence Committee staffer who has advocated for more research into the phenomena. “At this point, there is no denying that the UAP issue raises serious concerns that we can't afford to ignore.”
He also said the most significant takeaway is that the U.S. government “confirms that none of these objects are built by us or known to us.”
It also strongly downplays, he said, the notion that a potential adversary has made some major technological breakthrough without the knowledge of U.S. spy agencies.
“There is no evidence to suggest these objects are from Russia or China,” Mellon said. “That theory seems especially weak when we consider how long this phenomenon has been observed.”
As the report also attests, the number of recorded sightings is also likely a very low estimate.
“We know from experience that few military personnel were willing to report UAPs,” said Mellon.
So what isn't in the full report? Mellon suspects that the government is still shielding some data.
“It's far from clear how much information the [Pentagon task force] could elicit from organizations led by 4-star flag officers and agency directors,” he said. “Undoubtedly, some important information was not shared, potentially for a variety of reasons. Congress should inquire about that.”